📈 Aartha Weekly Market Newsletter - Dec 21th, 2025

Recap of Week Dec 15th – Dec 19th, 2025

Welcome to your Aartha Weekly Market Recap. We just witnessed one of the most volatile weeks of 2025, dominated by a massive $7.1 trillion Triple Witching and the long-awaited resolution of the "Missing" Jobs Report. The market flinched, then fought back.

Top Performers for Aartha (Daily Signals): 

🌐 U.S. Markets Overview

The week was defined by "Information Overload." Between the delayed BLS report on Tuesday and the massive options expiration on Friday, liquidity was erratic. Despite the mid-week jitters regarding a cooling labor market, the S&P 500 managed a +0.9% rally on Friday to wipe out its weekly losses, proving that the "Santa Rally" narrative is still gasping for air.

• The Vibe Shift: We have officially moved from "Will they cut?" to "Is 64k jobs enough?" The economy is slowing, but the massive liquidity injection from the Fed's third consecutive cut is acting as a floor for equity valuations.

📊 NASDAQ: The AI Resilience (+1.3% on Friday)

📊 NASDAQ: The Memory & Storage Rebound (+1.3% on Friday)

Technology stocks were the punching bag early in the week but emerged as the heroes by the Friday close. While the broader semiconductor sector faced skepticism following the "Missing" Jobs Report volatility, buyers stepped in aggressively during the $7.1 trillion Triple Witching volume spike, specifically targeting the hardware and memory space.

• The Memory Cycle Play: Micron (MU) led the charge, rebounding sharply as analysts highlighted that the memory supply glut is clearing faster than anticipated. Western Digital (WDC) and Seagate (STX) followed suit, proving that the infrastructure side of AI—specifically high-capacity storage—remains the market’s favorite "Value in Tech" trade.
• Aartha’s Top Performers: MU (14.2% profits on the bounce)
• Watchlist: WDC STX
• Strategy: Be selective. The "AI Bubble" talk hasn't disappeared; it's just being drowned out by year-end window dressing.

🌿 Cannabis Sector: The Volatility King (The "Round Trip")

What a difference a week makes. After the +54% explosion on Dec 12th, the "Weeds" sector reminded everyone why it's the highest-beta play on the board.

• Price Action: The MSOS ETF hit a staggering peak of $7.25 mid-week before a massive "profit-taking" avalanche on Thursday (-26.9%). It closed the week around $4.88.
• Aartha Signal Performance: CGC(101% profits) MSOS (87.3% profits) 
• Warning: The "Gap Fill" we warned about last week happened with a vengeance. Wait for consolidation before re-entering. The rescheduling hype is now being replaced by "Show Me the Money" fundamental analysis.

🏛️ Macro Driver: The "Missing" Jobs Report Result

The BLS finally dropped the delayed November payrolls on Tuesday, Dec 16.

• The Number: +64,000 jobs. * The Reaction: This was a "Goldilocks" number for the bulls. It was low enough to keep the Fed's "dovish" stance alive, but high enough to avoid a full-blown "Recession" panic (which a negative print would have triggered).
• Unemployment: Ticked up to 4.6%, which is the highest since late 2021. This is the new "Yellow Flag" for 2026.

💰 Gold & Crypto: The "Fear" Assets

Gold: The 8-Week High

Gold remains the unequivocal winner of the quarter. Trading near $4,350/oz, the "Yellow Metal" ignored the equity bounce and stayed bid.

• Aartha Signal: GDXU (remains a core holding; up 28% in the last two weeks).

Crypto: The $88k Reclaim

Bitcoin spent most of the week struggling to stay above $85k but caught a massive "Triple Witching" bid on Friday, reclaiming $88,000.

• The BOJ Factor: The Bank of Japan hiked rates to 0.75%, but the "Yen Carry Trade" panic was muted this time. Bitcoin's resilience here is a massive bullish signal for January.

📅 The Week Ahead: Christmas Chop (Dec 22–26)

We are entering a shortened holiday week. Expect low volume but high volatility.

• Monday, Dec 22: Final rebalancing flows from the $7.1T expiration.
• Wednesday, Dec 24: Markets close at 1:00 PM ET.
• Thursday, Dec 25: MARKETS CLOSED (Christmas Day).
• Friday, Dec 26: Historically one of the quietest days of the year, often a "drift higher" day.

🔍 What This Means for Aartha Traders

1. Protect Your Gains: The MSOS crash was a reminder that in 2025, profit can evaporate in 24 hours. Use hard stops.
2. Gold is Still King: Until the 10-year yield shows a meaningful trend reversal, stay heavy in precious metals.
3. The "Santa Rally" is Selective: Don't buy the "junk" stocks. Stick to the winners of last week (Nvidia, Oracle, Microsoft).

📥 Final Word

The market survived the "Binary Week." We have the jobs data, the Fed is cutting, and the options have cleared. We are now in the "Santa Drift" zone. Stay nimble, enjoy the holiday break, but keep one eye on the screen—this market doesn't sleep.

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